Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
STL5FINAL
4DET
STL 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% DET
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — STL had a 49% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
STLDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| STL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.33 | 2.27 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.15 | 1.71 |
| Shot attempts | 48 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 15 | 28 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Barron | 16.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.09 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 19.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.39 |
| Robert Thomas | 23.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.10 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 14.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.26 |
| Dylan Holloway | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.55 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 11.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.11 |
| Pius Suter | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.30 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | 10.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.09 |
| Philip Broberg | 27.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.21 |
| Jake Neighbours | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 10.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Mason McTavish | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.43 | +0.11 |
| Brandon Carlo | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.45 |
| Adam Jiricek | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.16 |
| Connor McMichael | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.31 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.17 |
| Cam Fowler | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.03 |
| Theo Lindstein | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 19.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | +0.16 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.45 | -0.09 |
| J.T. Compher | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.54 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.49 |
| Justin Faulk | 22.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.47 |
| Moritz Seider | 24.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.27 |
| Carter Mazur | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | +0.28 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.28 |
| Anton Johansson | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.23 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.10 |
| Sheldon Dries | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
| William Wallinder | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.63 |
| Ben Chiarot | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.26 |
| Nate Danielson | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| Andrew Copp | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.37 |
| Andreas Englund | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.45 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 28 | 5 | 2.33 | -2.67 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | 39 | 4 | 2.27 | -1.73 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.