Fri Oct 30 · 2026-27
SEA2FINAL
6CGY
SEA 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% CGY
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CGY had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
SEACGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.30 | 2.17 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.05 | 1.86 |
| Shot attempts | 42 | 53 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 27 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich | 18.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | +0.58 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 17.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.77 | +0.46 |
| Berkly Catton | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.65 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.61 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| Bobby McMann | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.26 |
| Shane Wright | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.71 |
| Matty Beniers | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.29 |
| Curtis Douglas | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | +0.18 |
| Jordan Eberle | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.29 |
| Ryker Evans | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.16 |
| Brandon Montour | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.16 |
| Josh Mahura | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.47 |
| Cale Fleury | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.25 |
| Adam Larsson | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.20 |
| Ryan Winterton | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Vince Dunn | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Coronato | 13.5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.01 |
| Joel Farabee | 15.3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.02 |
| Matvei Gridin | 16.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.22 | -0.60 |
| Morgan Frost | 16.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.21 |
| Aydar Suniev | 14.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.42 |
| Ryan Strome | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.55 |
| Mikael Backlund | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.03 |
| Martin Pospisil | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.56 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.18 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | +0.37 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.11 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.18 |
| Kevin Bahl | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.42 |
| Zayne Parekh | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | +0.71 |
| Adam Klapka | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.17 |
| Simon Nemec | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.38 |
| Jake Middleton | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -1.07 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.35 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 22 | 4 | 1.16 | -2.84 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 17 | 2 | 1.01 | -0.99 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 32 | 2 | 2.30 | +0.30 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.