ON-ICE IQ · WPG 2 @ FLA 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Fri Oct 30 · 2026-27

WPG2

FINAL

5FLA

WPG 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% FLA

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — FLA had a 59% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

WPGFLA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	WPG	FLA
Goals	2	5
xG (all)	2.76	3.68
xG (5v5)	0.72	2.13
Shot attempts	48	69
Shots on goal	24	38

WPG skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kyle Connor	20.7	1	0	2	0.50	-0.54
Mark Scheifele	22.3	0	1	1	0.31	-0.79
Morgan Barron	15.1	1	0	3	0.20	-0.06
Neal Pionk	23.7	0	1	4	0.19	-0.86
Dawson Mercer	18.2	0	1	2	0.14	-0.14
Dylan DeMelo	17.6	0	1	2	0.05	-0.38
Cole Perfetti	18.6	0	0	2	0.64	-0.39
Gabriel Vilardi	20.1	0	0	1	0.32	-0.97
Alex Iafallo	14.1	0	0	2	0.14	-0.33
Cole Koepke	9.6	0	0	0	0.12	-0.06
Mario Ferraro	18.3	0	0	2	0.09	-0.06
Elias Salomonsson	18.6	0	0	2	0.04	-0.51
Haydn Fleury	15.3	0	0	1	0.01	-0.14
Dylan Samberg	20.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.93
Viggo Björck	15.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.21
Adam Lowry	13.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.46
Isak Rosen	11.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.19
Tyrel Bauer	3.0	0	0	0	0.00	-0.02

FLA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Anton Lundell	16.8	3	0	8	1.09	+0.69
Seth Jones	24.3	1	2	1	0.12	+0.44
Sam Reinhart	19.8	1	1	4	0.67	+0.27
Eetu Luostarinen	16.4	0	2	1	0.01	+0.67
Lars Eller	16.9	0	1	2	0.66	+0.64
Carter Verhaeghe	20.0	0	1	3	0.26	+0.16
Brady Tkachuk	15.0	0	0	6	0.76	+0.69
Sam Bennett	14.4	0	0	2	0.28	+0.59
Sandis Vilmanis	16.1	0	0	2	0.13	+0.31
Aaron Ekblad	21.3	0	0	2	0.09	+0.63
Matthew Tkachuk	16.9	0	0	2	0.09	+0.52
Niko Mikkola	19.4	0	0	1	0.04	+0.47
Gustav Forsling	19.1	0	0	2	0.02	+0.56
Dmitry Kulikov	16.5	0	0	1	0.01	+0.31
Radko Gudas	15.1	0	0	1	0.01	+0.33
Garnet Hathaway	9.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.06
Cole Schwindt	8.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.06
Bokondji Imama	6.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.12

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Akira Schmid	FLA	32	2	2.76	+0.76
Nico Daws	WPG	47	4	3.68	-0.32

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.