ON-ICE IQ · NJD 5 @ VGK 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Fri Oct 30 · 2026-27

NJD5

FINAL

2VGK

NJD 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% VGK

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NJD had a 53% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

NJDVGK cumulative xG · dots = goals

	NJD	VGK
Goals	5	2
xG (all)	2.49	2.01
xG (5v5)	2.03	1.71
Shot attempts	63	39
Shots on goal	32	21

NJD skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jack Hughes	17.3	2	0	7	0.78	+0.40
Arseny Gritsyuk	17.8	2	0	8	0.40	+0.42
Anthony Mantha	14.0	0	1	1	0.11	-0.41
Luke Hughes	23.6	1	0	2	0.10	+0.39
Jonas Siegenthaler	20.8	0	1	0	0.01	-0.17
Jesper Bratt	15.6	0	1	0	0.00	+0.36
Cody Glass	12.2	0	0	1	0.49	+0.55
Luke Evangelista	18.7	0	0	3	0.22	+0.12
Timo Meier	17.4	0	0	2	0.21	-0.22
Nico Hischier	17.9	0	0	1	0.13	-0.28
Dougie Hamilton	17.9	0	0	2	0.10	-0.08
Connor Brown	10.5	0	0	0	0.06	+0.06
Jesper Boqvist	14.0	0	0	1	0.05	-0.20
Brett Pesce	21.9	0	0	1	0.05	+0.36
Amadeus Lombardi	11.3	0	0	1	0.04	+0.52
Johnathan Kovacevic	16.6	0	0	2	0.03	+0.17
Evan Rodrigues	16.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.34
Declan Chisholm	15.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.03

VGK skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mitch Marner	17.7	0	2	1	0.20	-0.18
Ivan Barbashev	15.3	1	0	3	0.31	-0.56
Mark Stone	16.3	1	0	1	0.13	-0.72
Brayden McNabb	18.6	0	1	0	0.00	-0.12
Tomas Hertl	15.7	0	0	2	0.26	+0.38
Trevor Connelly	16.9	0	0	2	0.25	-0.35
Rasmus Andersson	24.5	0	0	2	0.19	-0.32
Nic Dowd	12.4	0	0	0	0.18	+0.22
Braeden Bowman	13.3	0	0	1	0.14	+0.45
Noah Hanifin	24.0	0	0	4	0.11	-0.05
Shea Theodore	21.2	0	0	3	0.10	-0.10
William Karlsson	16.9	0	0	1	0.07	-0.64
Jack Eichel	16.4	0	0	0	0.04	-0.28
Jeremy Lauzon	18.2	0	0	1	0.02	+0.05
Brett Howden	14.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.52
Ville Heinola	12.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.11
Jonas Rondbjerg	12.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.07
Marc Gatcomb	11.0	0	0	0	0.00	+0.11

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck	NJD	32	2	2.01	+0.01
Adin Hill	VGK	44	4	2.49	-1.51

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.