Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
VAN2FINAL
3SJS
VAN 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% SJS
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SJS had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
VANSJS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.73 | 2.29 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.60 | 1.28 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 49 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 24 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew O'Connor | 17.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.60 | +0.41 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.85 |
| Liam Ohgren | 13.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | -0.27 |
| Filip Hronek | 27.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.05 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.78 |
| Brock Boeser | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | +0.41 |
| Filip Chytil | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.33 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| Paul Cotter | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.01 |
| Tom Willander | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.57 |
| Victor Mancini | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.49 |
| Elias Pettersson | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Zeev Buium | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
| Linus Karlsson | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Marco Rossi | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Max Sasson | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Marchment | 17.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | -0.79 |
| Will Smith | 17.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.46 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 22.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.41 | +0.31 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.33 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.48 |
| Michael Kesselring | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Nolan Allan | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | -0.06 |
| Collin Graf | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.33 |
| Filip Bystedt | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.20 |
| Adam Gaudette | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.13 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.11 |
| Michael Misa | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.84 |
| Darnell Nurse | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.07 |
| Sam Dickinson | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.23 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.28 |
| Jacob Trouba | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 35 | 2 | 2.73 | +0.73 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 35 | 3 | 2.29 | -0.71 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.