Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
OTT5FINAL OT
6LAK
OTT 28%DESERVE TO WIN72% LAK
DESERVED
LAK earned it — a 72% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
OTTLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.54 | 5.35 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.68 | 1.40 |
| Shot attempts | 46 | 72 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 38 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cozens | 17.5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.07 |
| Drake Batherson | 18.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.22 | +0.28 |
| Tim Stützle | 22.4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.30 |
| Shane Pinto | 22.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | -0.06 |
| Tyler Kleven | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.11 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.30 |
| Jake Sanderson | 29.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.30 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.24 |
| Stephen Halliday | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.62 |
| Thomas Chabot | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.47 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.06 |
| Nick Cousins | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.18 |
| Claude Giroux | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.30 |
| Hayden Hodgson | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.16 |
| Artem Zub | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.37 |
| Jordan Spence | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Ridly Greig | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Michael Amadio | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty | 22.9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.08 |
| Quinton Byfield | 20.6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.11 | -0.19 |
| Artemi Panarin | 24.1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0.83 | +0.49 |
| Erik Haula | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.03 |
| Trevor Moore | 19.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.19 |
| Joel Armia | 13.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| Mikey Anderson | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.84 |
| Brandt Clarke | 11.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.34 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 21.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Alex Laferriere | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.07 | +0.35 |
| Adrian Kempe | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.98 | +0.49 |
| Corey Perry | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| Joel Edmundson | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| Scott Laughton | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| Taylor Ward | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.26 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Andre Lee | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.54 |
| Samuel Helenius | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 33 | 5 | 2.54 | -2.46 |
| Jonas Johansson | OTT | 22 | 4 | 2.14 | -1.86 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | 31 | 2 | 3.21 | +1.21 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.