Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
BUF7FINAL
6ANA
BUF 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% ANA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BUF had a 46% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BUFANA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BUF | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 3.88 | 4.23 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.78 | 1.89 |
| Shot attempts | 55 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 35 |
BUF skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 17.8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0.97 | +0.88 |
| Zach Benson | 19.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.42 | +0.98 |
| Peyton Krebs | 15.9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.97 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 26.0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.17 | +1.22 |
| Jack Quinn | 18.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1.40 | +0.02 |
| Noah Ostlund | 19.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.47 | +0.05 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | 25.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.63 |
| Tyson Kozak | 12.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.12 |
| Olen Zellweger | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Sam Carrick | 8.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Josh Doan | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.06 |
| Ryan McLeod | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| Owen Power | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.06 |
| Jason Zucker | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.04 |
| Louis Crevier | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.16 |
| Josh Norris | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Beck Malenstyn | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Dennis Gilbert | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 22.1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.71 | -0.38 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 22.3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 1.11 | +0.13 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 21.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.37 | -0.63 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 29.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.98 |
| Roger McQueen | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | -0.31 |
| Mikael Granlund | 23.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.78 |
| Tristan Luneau | 21.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.15 |
| Sam Colangelo | 11.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.03 |
| Nick Jensen | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.45 |
| A.J. Greer | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.10 |
| Jeff Malott | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.49 |
| Tim Washe | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.21 |
| Frank Vatrano | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.51 |
| Alex Killorn | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
| Tyson Hinds | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| Noah Warren | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.87 |
| Travis Mitchell | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | ANA | 43 | 7 | 3.88 | -3.12 |
| Colten Ellis | BUF | 47 | 6 | 4.23 | -1.77 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.