Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
NYI4FINAL OT
3MIN
NYI 54%DESERVE TO WIN46% MIN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NYI had a 54% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYIMIN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYI | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.12 | 2.45 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.56 | 1.54 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 59 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 25 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer | 30.0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0.43 | +0.74 |
| Bo Horvat | 20.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.49 | +0.42 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.77 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.58 |
| Adam Pelech | 23.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.63 |
| Emil Heineman | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.20 |
| Victor Eklund | 12.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Anthony Duclair | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | +0.29 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.43 |
| Casey Cizikas | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.16 |
| Brayden Schenn | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| Ondrej Palat | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.68 |
| Kyle MacLean | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.34 |
| Scott Mayfield | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.19 |
| Logan Stanley | 26.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.14 |
| Mitchell Chaffee | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes | 33.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.12 | -0.97 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 17.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.47 | -0.09 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | -0.28 |
| Matt Boldy | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | -0.06 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.17 |
| Jonas Brodin | 23.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.67 |
| Bobby Brink | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | -0.35 |
| Danila Yurov | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.70 |
| Max Shabanov | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.17 |
| Olli Maatta | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.06 |
| Michael McCarron | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | -0.07 |
| Blake Coleman | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.21 |
| Yakov Trenin | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.29 |
| Zach Bogosian | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| Matt Kiersted | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| David Spacek | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Nico Sturm | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 41 | 3 | 2.45 | -0.55 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 43 | 4 | 3.12 | -0.88 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.