Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
WSH4FINAL
3NSH
WSH 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% NSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 49% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
WSHNSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WSH | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.99 | 2.83 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.44 | 2.09 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 27 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Hutson | 18.4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.17 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 19.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | +0.15 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 15.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 22.5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.28 | -0.32 |
| Boone Jenner | 16.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.77 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.37 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.14 | -0.37 |
| Alex Tuch | 17.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.43 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.56 |
| Ryan Leonard | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.48 |
| Tom Wilson | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.29 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.21 |
| Justin Sourdif | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.63 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.19 |
| Matt Roy | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.08 |
| Ilya Protas | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.24 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.26 |
| Dylan Strome | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.05 |
NSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi | 22.9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0.54 | +0.97 |
| Filip Forsberg | 21.6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.57 | -0.02 |
| Ross Colton | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.41 |
| Adam Edstrom | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.28 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Steven Stamkos | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.25 |
| Mavrik Bourque | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.03 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| Brady Skjei | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.85 |
| Adam Wilsby | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.91 |
| Daemon Hunt | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.22 |
| Jack Drury | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.24 |
| Nick Perbix | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Jayden Struble | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Matthew Wood | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| Nils Hoglander | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Nicolas Hague | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.48 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | NSH | 47 | 4 | 2.99 | -1.01 |
| Charlie Lindgren | WSH | 42 | 3 | 2.83 | -0.17 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.