ON-ICE IQ · BOS 1 @ STL 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27

BOS1

FINAL

4STL

BOS 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% STL

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — STL had a 51% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

BOSSTL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	BOS	STL
Goals	1	4
xG (all)	2.60	2.53
xG (5v5)	2.23	2.00
Shot attempts	66	38
Shots on goal	32	18

BOS skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
James Hagens	15.7	1	0	2	0.23	-0.46
Casey Mittelstadt	16.0	0	1	0	0.00	-0.58
JJ Peterka	18.3	0	0	3	0.68	+0.91
David Pastrnak	21.5	0	0	3	0.44	+0.99
Marat Khusnutdinov	12.3	0	0	1	0.24	+0.05
Morgan Geekie	15.3	0	0	3	0.22	-0.20
Charlie McAvoy	23.9	0	0	5	0.19	+0.45
Tanner Jeannot	10.8	0	0	1	0.14	+0.01
Pavel Zacha	21.0	0	0	1	0.12	+0.47
Mark Kastelic	10.2	0	0	1	0.11	-0.11
Hampus Lindholm	23.4	0	0	3	0.07	+0.50
Will Borgen	17.4	0	0	2	0.06	+0.08
Matthew Poitras	8.9	0	0	2	0.05	-0.35
Elias Lindholm	15.6	0	0	1	0.02	-0.37
Connor Clifton	14.2	0	0	2	0.01	-0.22
Nikita Zadorov	19.1	0	0	1	0.01	-0.07
Mason Lohrei	18.5	0	0	1	0.01	-0.30
Fraser Minten	15.8	0	0	0	0.00	+0.31

STL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Robert Thomas	18.7	1	2	2	0.13	-0.08
Philip Broberg	25.9	1	2	1	0.12	-0.64
Jimmy Snuggerud	15.0	1	0	2	0.28	+0.08
Jake Neighbours	13.8	1	0	1	0.17	-0.16
Dylan Holloway	15.4	0	1	0	0.14	+0.11
Connor McMichael	15.3	0	1	1	0.11	-0.45
Justin Barron	15.4	0	1	1	0.05	+0.59
Mason McTavish	15.3	0	0	5	0.95	+0.27
Colton Parayko	18.4	0	0	1	0.27	-0.06
Alexey Toropchenko	14.5	0	0	0	0.12	-0.52
Pavel Buchnevich	15.9	0	0	0	0.08	+0.40
Pius Suter	14.7	0	0	1	0.07	-0.37
Brandon Carlo	20.4	0	0	2	0.02	-0.53
Adam Jiricek	18.1	0	0	0	0.01	+0.52
Cam Fowler	21.6	0	0	1	0.01	-0.15
Jonatan Berggren	13.3	0	0	0	0.00	+0.11
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki	13.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.18
Dalibor Dvorsky	11.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.08

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jeremy Swayman	BOS	31	4	2.53	-1.47
Joel Hofer	STL	51	1	2.60	+1.60

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.