Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
UTA4FINAL OT
3PIT
UTA 63%DESERVE TO WIN37% PIT
DESERVED
UTA earned it — a 63% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
UTAPIT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| UTA | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 4.91 | 2.78 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.23 | 2.21 |
| Shot attempts | 64 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 34 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 17.9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1.04 | +0.93 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.73 | +0.88 |
| Clayton Keller | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.60 | -0.29 |
| Barrett Hayton | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.47 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 26.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.08 |
| Lawson Crouse | 17.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.89 |
| Andrew Peeke | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.15 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | +0.63 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.04 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.36 |
| Anders Lee | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | +0.40 |
| Artem Duda | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | +0.74 |
| Dylan Guenther | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.53 |
| Nate Schmidt | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.54 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.29 |
| Jack McBain | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.04 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Daniil But | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Malkin | 16.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.18 |
| Ben Kindel | 16.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | -0.14 |
| Rickard Rakell | 18.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| Erik Karlsson | 21.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.26 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Sidney Crosby | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | -0.65 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | -0.54 |
| Nick Robertson | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | +0.03 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.23 |
| Blake Lizotte | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| Ville Koivunen | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.88 |
| Tommy Novak | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.15 |
| Connor Dewar | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.01 |
| Declan Carlile | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.49 |
| Kris Letang | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.34 |
| Spencer Stastney | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.46 |
| Samuel Girard | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 52 | 4 | 4.91 | +0.91 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | 45 | 3 | 2.78 | -0.22 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.