Thu Oct 29 · 2026-27
WPG4FINAL
6TBL
WPG 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% TBL
DESERVED
TBL earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
WPGTBL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.17 | 3.98 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.61 | 2.21 |
| Shot attempts | 48 | 60 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 31 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | 20.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.26 |
| Neal Pionk | 22.1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | +0.67 |
| Kyle Connor | 19.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.00 |
| Cole Perfetti | 17.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.22 |
| Dylan Samberg | 22.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | +0.86 |
| Dawson Mercer | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.20 |
| Adam Lowry | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| Isak Rosen | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.55 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.19 |
| Morgan Barron | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.25 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.96 |
| Elias Salomonsson | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.39 |
| Alex Iafallo | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.28 |
| Mario Ferraro | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.53 |
| Brad Lambert | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Haydn Fleury | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.84 |
| Viggo Björck | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.36 |
| Cole Koepke | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
TBL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Holmberg | 17.9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.41 | +0.22 |
| Brandon Hagel | 21.8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0.59 | +0.22 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 19.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.47 | +0.24 |
| Jake Guentzel | 22.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.92 | +0.20 |
| Conor Geekie | 11.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.56 | +0.42 |
| Brayden Point | 20.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.34 |
| John Carlson | 13.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.64 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| Jeffrey Viel | 11.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.47 |
| Dominic James | 11.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.28 |
| Gage Goncalves | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| Victor Hedman | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.43 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.43 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.25 |
| J.J. Moser | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.03 |
| Erik Cernak | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Emil Lilleberg | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TBL | 37 | 4 | 2.17 | -1.83 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 29 | 5 | 3.12 | -1.88 |
| Nico Daws | WPG | 14 | 0 | 0.86 | +0.86 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.