Wed Oct 28 · 2026-27
TOR4FINAL
5SEA
TOR 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% SEA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 56% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
TORSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| TOR | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 2.17 | 2.63 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.02 | 1.67 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 44 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 17 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 20.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.58 | -0.11 |
| Gavin McKenna | 15.6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | -0.04 |
| Jack Roslovic | 17.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.20 |
| Darren Raddysh | 24.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.42 |
| Easton Cowan | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.25 | -0.30 |
| Troy Stecher | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.07 |
| William Nylander | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | -0.27 |
| Zack MacEwen | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.19 |
| Morgan Rielly | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.21 |
| Jake McCabe | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.42 |
| Dakota Mermis | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
| Vinni Lettieri | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.04 |
| Colton Sissons | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.18 |
| Bo Groulx | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.06 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Nick Paul | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
| Teddy Blueger | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matty Beniers | 20.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.27 | -0.18 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 19.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.00 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 14.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.26 |
| Ben Meyers | 11.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.51 |
| Jordan Eberle | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| Josh Mahura | 11.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.27 |
| Berkly Catton | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.21 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.67 |
| Brandon Montour | 27.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.05 |
| Vince Dunn | 23.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.37 |
| Ryker Evans | 22.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Shane Wright | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.56 | +0.08 |
| Bobby McMann | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.06 |
| Ryan Winterton | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.51 |
| Jani Nyman | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.07 |
| Adam Larsson | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Cale Fleury | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | 32 | 5 | 2.63 | -2.37 |
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 40 | 4 | 2.17 | -1.83 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.