ON-ICE IQ · NJD 2 @ COL 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Wed Oct 28 · 2026-27

NJD2

FINAL

5COL

NJD 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% COL

DESERVED COL earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

NJDCOL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	NJD	COL
Goals	2	5
xG (all)	2.53	4.19
xG (5v5)	1.66	2.92
Shot attempts	44	80
Shots on goal	22	44

NJD skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Connor Brown	14.2	2	0	2	0.24	+0.21
Amadeus Lombardi	11.8	0	1	4	0.61	+0.34
Cody Glass	12.2	0	1	0	0.04	+0.35
Anthony Mantha	13.9	0	0	2	0.32	-0.51
Nico Hischier	16.9	0	0	3	0.31	-0.57
Jesper Bratt	16.8	0	0	2	0.26	-0.59
Timo Meier	14.1	0	0	1	0.16	-0.52
Jack Hughes	20.6	0	0	2	0.16	-0.56
Jesper Boqvist	10.9	0	0	1	0.13	-0.36
Luke Evangelista	17.5	0	0	0	0.12	-0.52
Arseny Gritsyuk	16.4	0	0	1	0.12	-0.57
Brenden Dillon	16.9	0	0	0	0.02	-0.41
Dougie Hamilton	17.4	0	0	2	0.01	-0.96
Evan Rodrigues	16.1	0	0	1	0.01	-0.48
Jonas Siegenthaler	20.4	0	0	1	0.00	-0.32
Luke Hughes	23.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.59
Brett Pesce	19.3	0	0	0	0.00	+0.26
Declan Chisholm	17.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.49

COL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jaden Schwartz	10.9	1	1	3	0.54	+0.19
Nazem Kadri	15.1	1	1	2	0.38	+0.51
Sam Malinski	21.2	0	2	3	0.09	+0.60
Brent Burns	17.8	0	2	4	0.08	+0.43
Gabriel Landeskog	12.5	1	0	1	0.35	-0.54
Nathan MacKinnon	19.0	1	0	2	0.34	+0.89
Artturi Lehkonen	18.6	0	1	2	0.33	+0.91
Devon Toews	24.7	0	1	4	0.30	+0.86
Parker Kelly	14.2	1	0	3	0.14	+0.25
Fedor Svechkov	13.5	0	1	0	0.00	+0.26
Nicolas Roy	11.4	0	1	0	0.00	+0.02
Martin Necas	19.6	0	0	4	0.46	+0.73
Logan O'Connor	13.7	0	0	2	0.38	+0.21
Cale Makar	25.9	0	0	6	0.31	+0.48
T.J. Hughes	13.2	0	0	2	0.22	+0.30
Brock Nelson	16.6	0	0	3	0.19	+0.03
Brett Kulak	22.7	0	0	3	0.06	+0.09
Josh Manson	4.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.05

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	NJD	64	5	4.19	-0.81
Mackenzie Blackwood	COL	32	2	2.53	+0.53

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.