Wed Oct 28 · 2026-27
CGY0FINAL
4EDM
CGY 36%DESERVE TO WIN64% EDM
DESERVED
EDM earned it — a 64% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CGYEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CGY | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.02 | 3.43 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.02 | 2.58 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 60 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 32 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zayne Parekh | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.57 |
| Mikael Backlund | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.24 |
| Joel Farabee | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.00 |
| Adam Klapka | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.03 |
| Martin Pospisil | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | -0.52 |
| Matvei Gridin | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.32 |
| Matt Coronato | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | +0.05 |
| Ryan Strome | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | -0.16 |
| Morgan Frost | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.34 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.49 |
| Aydar Suniev | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.32 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.11 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.14 |
| Jake Middleton | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.71 |
| Simon Nemec | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.66 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Kevin Bahl | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| Brennan Othmann | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 18.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.34 |
| Connor McDavid | 18.8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.26 | +0.86 |
| Alex Formenton | 12.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | +0.25 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 13.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.19 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 18.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.03 |
| Evan Bouchard | 22.2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | +0.35 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.19 |
| Jason Dickinson | 13.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.03 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.60 | +0.32 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.61 |
| Owen Michaels | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| Connor Murphy | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.24 |
| Colton Dach | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.23 |
| Trent Frederic | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.02 |
| Isaac Howard | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.02 |
| Ryan Shea | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.39 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Ty Emberson | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 41 | 0 | 2.02 | +2.02 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 34 | 3 | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | 16 | 1 | 0.83 | -0.17 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.