Wed Oct 28 · 2026-27
PHI2FINAL
5WSH
PHI 40%DESERVE TO WIN60% WSH
DESERVED
WSH earned it — a 60% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PHIWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PHI | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 2.42 | 3.45 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.47 | 2.89 |
| Shot attempts | 61 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 30 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.47 | -0.70 |
| Matvei Michkov | 17.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.37 | -0.43 |
| Sean Couturier | 18.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.04 |
| Denver Barkey | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.45 |
| Nick Seeler | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Alex Bump | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.12 |
| Hunter McDonald | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.76 |
| Porter Martone | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.50 |
| Travis Sanheim | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.71 |
| Cole Knuble | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.07 |
| Noah Cates | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.28 |
| Oliver Bonk | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.96 |
| Christian Dvorak | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.60 |
| Cam York | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| Tyson Foerster | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.66 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.22 |
| Noel Acciari | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
| Jacob Gaucher | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome | 15.8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.60 |
| Alex Tuch | 18.7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1.03 | +0.89 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 15.6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.70 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 13.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.01 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 14.7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | +1.08 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.19 |
| Matt Roy | 20.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.06 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 22.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.24 |
| Tom Wilson | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.47 | -0.05 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.54 |
| Ilya Protas | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | +0.66 |
| Ryan Leonard | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | -0.07 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.56 |
| Boone Jenner | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.09 |
| Justin Sourdif | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.28 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.11 |
| Cole Hutson | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +1.16 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | PHI | 42 | 4 | 3.45 | -0.55 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 34 | 2 | 2.42 | +0.42 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.