Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27
VAN6FINAL OT
5ANA
VAN 62%DESERVE TO WIN38% ANA
DESERVED
VAN earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANANA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 4.40 | 2.63 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.82 | 1.74 |
| Shot attempts | 63 | 42 |
| Shots on goal | 33 | 23 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Boeser | 21.8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0.60 | -0.54 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 19.9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.42 | -0.04 |
| Filip Hronek | 27.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | -0.27 |
| Elias Pettersson | 24.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Linus Karlsson | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.93 | +0.52 |
| Liam Ohgren | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.55 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 20.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.74 |
| Zeev Buium | 20.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.58 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.60 | +0.18 |
| Paul Cotter | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | +0.17 |
| Filip Chytil | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.28 |
| Drew O'Connor | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.51 |
| Marco Rossi | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.47 |
| Tom Willander | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.89 |
| Victor Mancini | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.54 |
| Elias Pettersson | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Max Sasson | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson LaCombe | 28.8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.24 |
| Sam Colangelo | 12.9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.43 | +0.18 |
| Leo Carlsson | 16.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | -0.04 |
| A.J. Greer | 15.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.32 |
| Jeff Malott | 10.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.31 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.45 | -0.42 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 17.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.09 |
| Tristan Luneau | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.64 |
| Noah Warren | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| Mikael Granlund | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | -0.09 |
| Alex Killorn | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -0.25 |
| Judd Caulfield | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.46 |
| Tim Washe | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.14 |
| Travis Mitchell | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.39 |
| Drew Helleson | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.69 |
| Tyson Hinds | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Roger McQueen | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 49 | 6 | 4.40 | -1.60 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 31 | 5 | 2.63 | -2.37 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.