Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27
MIN3FINAL
1UTA
MIN 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% UTA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MIN had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
MINUTA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 3.16 | 3.16 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.70 | 1.84 |
| Shot attempts | 64 | 64 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 27 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 24.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.82 | -0.15 |
| Quinn Hughes | 29.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.28 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 21.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.09 |
| Max Shabanov | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | -0.15 |
| Matt Boldy | 22.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.21 |
| Blake Coleman | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | +0.27 |
| Michael McCarron | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.17 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.35 |
| Jonas Brodin | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.58 |
| Bobby Brink | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.33 |
| Danila Yurov | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.04 |
| Nico Sturm | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.12 |
| Olli Maatta | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.03 |
| Zach Bogosian | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Matt Kiersted | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.84 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.93 | +0.66 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 18.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.58 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 24.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.19 |
| Dylan Guenther | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | +0.13 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | +0.62 |
| Clayton Keller | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.07 |
| Barrett Hayton | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | -0.32 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.63 |
| Lawson Crouse | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.49 |
| Jack McBain | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.00 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.24 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.18 |
| Nate Schmidt | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.12 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.16 |
| Nick DeSimone | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.12 |
| Anders Lee | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.44 |
| Liam O'Brien | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Andrew Peeke | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 44 | 3 | 3.16 | +0.16 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 43 | 1 | 3.16 | +2.16 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.