Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27
FLA5FINAL
1WPG
FLA 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% WPG
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — FLA had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
FLAWPG
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| FLA | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 3.31 | 3.37 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.33 | 2.36 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 51 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 25 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 16.8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.65 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 16.3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.62 | -0.49 |
| Seth Jones | 25.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.21 | -0.50 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 18.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.58 | -0.57 |
| Niko Mikkola | 19.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.44 |
| Sam Reinhart | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | -0.80 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.08 |
| Anton Lundell | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.30 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.29 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| Sam Bennett | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.66 |
| Cole Schwindt | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.13 |
| Gustav Forsling | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| Lars Eller | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Bokondji Imama | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.15 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Radko Gudas | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.54 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lowry | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.95 | +0.86 |
| Kyle Connor | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.52 | +0.51 |
| Mark Scheifele | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.15 |
| Cole Perfetti | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.75 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.60 |
| Neal Pionk | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.66 |
| Alex Iafallo | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.11 |
| Isak Rosen | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.62 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.02 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.21 |
| Dylan Samberg | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +1.15 |
| Brad Lambert | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.29 |
| Elias Salomonsson | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | +0.02 |
| Dawson Mercer | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Mario Ferraro | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Viggo Björck | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Cole Koepke | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | FLA | 41 | 1 | 3.37 | +2.37 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | 40 | 5 | 3.31 | -1.69 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.