Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27
NJD5FINAL
1DAL
NJD 57%DESERVE TO WIN43% DAL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NJD had a 57% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NJDDAL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NJD | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.80 | 1.78 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.53 | 1.78 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 38 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 18 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 19.7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1.04 | +0.16 |
| Nico Hischier | 18.1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.12 |
| Luke Hughes | 23.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.02 |
| Luke Evangelista | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.19 |
| Anthony Mantha | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.26 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
| Timo Meier | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.09 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.21 |
| Brett Pesce | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.29 |
| Jesper Bratt | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Cody Glass | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.05 |
| Connor Brown | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.11 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.34 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| Brenden Dillon | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hryckowian | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| Tyler Myers | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
| Colin Blackwell | 11.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Roope Hintz | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +0.45 |
| Jason Robertson | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.24 |
| Matthew Seminoff | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.06 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | -0.01 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | +0.24 |
| Tyler Seguin | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.22 |
| Thomas Harley | 26.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.32 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.33 |
| Jamie Benn | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.08 |
| Lian Bichsel | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.10 |
| Arttu Hyry | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 25.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Kyle Capobianco | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Hryckowian | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | NJD | 25 | 1 | 1.78 | +0.78 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | 42 | 5 | 2.80 | -2.20 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.