ON-ICE IQ · NYI 4 @ NSH 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27

NYI4

FINAL SO

3NSH

NYI 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% NSH

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NYI had a 46% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

NYINSH cumulative xG · dots = goals

	NYI	NSH
Goals	4	3
xG (all)	4.03	4.26
xG (5v5)	2.47	3.24
Shot attempts	67	62
Shots on goal	28	23

NYI skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Bo Horvat	26.1	1	0	2	0.67	+0.33
Simon Holmstrom	25.0	0	1	3	0.50	+0.24
Matthew Schaefer	32.3	0	1	2	0.47	-0.19
Brayden Schenn	19.2	1	0	1	0.30	+0.28
Anthony Duclair	16.2	1	0	2	0.28	-1.06
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	16.9	0	1	1	0.22	-0.74
Tony DeAngelo	16.8	0	1	2	0.06	+0.21
Ondrej Palat	16.6	0	1	1	0.06	-0.98
Kyle Palmieri	20.6	0	0	3	0.56	+0.48
Emil Heineman	18.0	0	0	4	0.54	-0.75
Victor Eklund	14.0	0	0	3	0.25	-0.07
Ryan Pulock	18.0	0	0	2	0.04	-0.09
Adam Pelech	19.2	0	0	2	0.04	-1.90
Logan Stanley	19.8	0	0	0	0.03	+0.50
Casey Cizikas	10.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.01
Scott Mayfield	9.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.04
Mitchell Chaffee	7.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.04
Matthew Kessel	5.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.00

NSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Filip Forsberg	22.8	1	1	4	0.39	-0.59
Nils Hoglander	6.2	0	1	2	1.01	+0.67
Ryan O'Reilly	24.2	1	0	1	0.75	+0.57
Alexander Kerfoot	16.5	1	0	3	0.27	+0.91
Jonathan Marchessault	17.4	0	1	1	0.26	-0.55
Daemon Hunt	14.8	0	1	2	0.18	+0.72
Steven Stamkos	20.7	0	1	1	0.14	+0.61
Adam Edstrom	16.5	0	0	2	0.38	+1.24
Ross Colton	13.4	0	0	1	0.23	+0.42
Jack Drury	20.1	0	0	2	0.23	+0.07
Roman Josi	26.1	0	0	2	0.22	+0.61
Mavrik Bourque	17.2	0	0	0	0.10	-0.24
Brady Skjei	19.8	0	0	1	0.08	+0.11
Adam Wilsby	22.7	0	0	1	0.01	+0.34
Nick Perbix	18.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.24
Nicolas Hague	12.2	0	0	0	0.00	+0.38
Matthew Wood	10.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.81
Jayden Struble	7.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.40

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Semyon Varlamov	NYI	40	3	4.26	+1.26
Juuse Saros	NSH	49	3	4.03	+1.03

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.