Tue Oct 27 · 2026-27
CBJ4FINAL OT
3PHI
CBJ 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% PHI
STOLE IT
CBJ stole it — only a 34% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CBJPHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CBJ | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 1.90 | 3.61 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.33 | 2.48 |
| Shot attempts | 37 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 15 | 31 |
CBJ skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Johnson | 14.7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.54 | -0.10 |
| Adam Fantilli | 20.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.09 |
| Zach Werenski | 28.1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | -0.46 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 21.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.76 |
| Matthew Knies | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.07 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 17.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Jake Christiansen | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.09 |
| Cole Sillinger | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.71 |
| Charlie Coyle | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | +0.12 |
| Conor Garland | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -1.21 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.03 |
| Erik Gudbranson | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.13 |
| Dante Fabbro | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.34 |
| Damon Severson | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Sean Monahan | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.12 |
| Luca Del Bel Belluz | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Dmitri Voronkov | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras | 20.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.49 | +0.59 |
| Noah Cates | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.46 | +0.21 |
| Christian Dvorak | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.73 |
| Tyson Foerster | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.40 |
| Travis Sanheim | 24.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.51 |
| Porter Martone | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.32 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 26.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.38 |
| Oliver Bonk | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.11 |
| Matvei Michkov | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.58 | +0.78 |
| Cam York | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.49 |
| Alex Bump | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | +0.41 |
| Noel Acciari | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.24 |
| Hunter McDonald | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.17 |
| Cole Knuble | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
| Sean Couturier | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.20 |
| Michael Bunting | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| Nick Seeler | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.65 |
| Denver Barkey | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | CBJ | 43 | 3 | 3.61 | +0.61 |
| Dan Vladar | PHI | 25 | 4 | 1.90 | -2.10 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.