Mon Oct 26 · 2026-27
DET4FINAL SO
3EDM
DET 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DET had a 49% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DETEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.96 | 2.82 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.93 | 1.16 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 28 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson | 18.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.95 | +0.48 |
| Lucas Raymond | 21.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | -0.03 |
| Dylan Larkin | 23.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.16 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 19.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.50 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.42 |
| Moritz Seider | 30.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | -0.34 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | +0.28 |
| Andrew Copp | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.23 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.07 |
| William Wallinder | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.92 |
| Ben Chiarot | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.38 |
| Justin Faulk | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +1.03 |
| Carter Mazur | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| J.T. Compher | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.34 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Andreas Englund | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Anton Johansson | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Nate Danielson | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Dach | 14.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.89 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 25.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | +0.66 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 21.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.77 |
| Connor McDavid | 26.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.76 |
| Isaac Howard | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.83 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.29 |
| Ryan Shea | 25.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -1.03 |
| Evan Bouchard | 31.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | +0.81 |
| Zach Hyman | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.28 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | +0.64 |
| Connor Murphy | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -1.21 |
| Ty Emberson | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.38 |
| Alex Formenton | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.38 |
| Owen Michaels | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| Jake Walman | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Trent Frederic | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.94 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 42 | 3 | 2.96 | -0.04 |
| Michal Postava | DET | 45 | 3 | 2.82 | -0.18 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.