Sun Oct 25 · 2026-27
MIN4FINAL
2VAN
MIN 77%DESERVE TO WIN23% VAN
DESERVED
MIN earned it — a 77% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
MINVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 5.11 | 1.45 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.53 | 1.06 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 44 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 17 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 21.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.60 | +0.40 |
| Quinn Hughes | 26.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.46 | +1.50 |
| Max Shabanov | 16.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | -0.21 |
| Michael McCarron | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.71 | +1.73 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 20.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.64 | +0.40 |
| Matt Boldy | 22.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.54 |
| Bobby Brink | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +1.51 |
| Blake Coleman | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | +1.56 |
| Nico Sturm | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.66 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.53 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| Danila Yurov | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.10 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +1.54 |
| Ryan Hartman | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.41 |
| Zach Bogosian | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.66 |
| Jonas Brodin | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Olli Maatta | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Matt Kiersted | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.69 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sasson | 11.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.23 |
| Elias Pettersson | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.81 |
| Filip Hronek | 25.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| Brock Boeser | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.98 |
| Elias Pettersson | 22.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.01 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.19 |
| Linus Karlsson | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.17 |
| Filip Chytil | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.74 |
| Marco Rossi | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -1.30 |
| Zeev Buium | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.71 |
| Liam Ohgren | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.65 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.57 |
| Tom Willander | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.64 |
| Guillaume Brisebois | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.83 |
| Luke Schenn | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -1.42 |
| Drew O'Connor | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | 31 | 2 | 1.45 | -0.55 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 50 | 4 | 5.11 | +1.11 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.