ON-ICE IQ · NYI 3 @ DAL 6

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sun Oct 25 · 2026-27

NYI3

FINAL

6DAL

NYI 32%DESERVE TO WIN68% DAL

DESERVED DAL earned it — a 68% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

NYIDAL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	NYI	DAL
Goals	3	6
xG (all)	1.93	3.97
xG (5v5)	1.41	3.23
Shot attempts	44	66
Shots on goal	20	38

NYI skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Bo Horvat	19.3	0	2	2	0.27	-0.66
Kyle Palmieri	17.0	1	0	3	0.45	-0.88
Brayden Schenn	16.2	1	0	2	0.32	-0.51
Matthew Schaefer	26.3	1	0	1	0.27	-0.59
Anthony Duclair	14.6	0	1	1	0.06	-0.23
Ryan Pulock	19.1	0	1	0	0.02	-0.22
Emil Heineman	15.0	0	1	0	0.00	-0.35
Simon Holmstrom	18.9	0	0	2	0.27	-0.68
Ondrej Palat	15.3	0	0	2	0.11	-0.17
Matthew Kessel	14.0	0	0	2	0.08	-0.46
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	13.3	0	0	2	0.05	+0.01
Adam Pelech	19.4	0	0	2	0.02	-0.96
Logan Stanley	20.9	0	0	1	0.01	-0.90
Tony DeAngelo	17.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.54
Victor Eklund	14.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.37
Casey Cizikas	11.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.65
Mitchell Chaffee	11.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.30
Kyle MacLean	10.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.63

DAL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jason Robertson	19.0	2	0	3	0.77	+0.18
Wyatt Johnston	20.2	1	1	2	0.59	+0.49
Roope Hintz	16.3	0	2	2	0.45	+0.49
Tyler Seguin	14.9	1	1	2	0.19	+0.66
Justin Hryckowian	13.9	1	0	2	0.33	+0.36
Thomas Harley	24.7	0	1	3	0.26	+0.63
Joel Kiviranta	13.1	0	1	2	0.22	+0.74
Jamie Benn	12.2	0	1	1	0.19	+0.22
Mikko Rantanen	18.9	1	0	2	0.08	+0.88
Lian Bichsel	18.2	0	1	0	0.04	+0.80
Nils Lundkvist	18.3	0	1	0	0.02	+0.56
Tyler Myers	20.1	0	0	3	0.24	+0.63
Colin Blackwell	10.3	0	0	4	0.17	+0.16
Miro Heiskanen	21.9	0	0	4	0.14	+0.54
Arttu Hyry	16.0	0	0	3	0.10	+0.66
Kyle Capobianco	15.0	0	0	2	0.07	+0.46
Matthew Seminoff	8.9	0	0	2	0.06	+0.36
Dylan Hryckowian	10.1	0	0	1	0.05	+0.26

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	NYI	50	6	3.97	-2.03
Jake Oettinger	DAL	30	3	1.93	-1.07

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.