Sun Oct 25 · 2026-27
FLA3FINAL
2CHI
FLA 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — FLA had a 46% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
FLACHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| FLA | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.13 | 3.38 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.29 | 1.54 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 60 |
| Shots on goal | 33 | 21 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandis Vilmanis | 13.1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.50 | +0.83 |
| Sam Reinhart | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.41 | +0.90 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.98 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 18.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.33 |
| Seth Jones | 24.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.27 | +1.01 |
| Lars Eller | 16.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.26 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.29 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 22.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.36 |
| Niko Mikkola | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.73 |
| Sam Bennett | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.25 |
| Anton Lundell | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.23 |
| Bokondji Imama | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| Gustav Forsling | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.17 |
| Cole Schwindt | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.48 |
| Radko Gudas | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.38 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.38 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Greene | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.23 |
| Patrick Kane | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.42 | -0.61 |
| Connor Bedard | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| Roman Kantserov | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.61 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 8.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.17 |
| Kevin Korchinski | 12.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.26 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.55 | +0.40 |
| Cole Smith | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | +0.43 |
| Frank Nazar | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | +0.08 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | -0.67 |
| Anton Frondell | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.63 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -1.08 |
| Alex Vlasic | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.05 |
| Sam Rinzel | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| Ian Cole | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Jordan Greenway | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | FLA | 44 | 2 | 3.38 | +1.38 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 47 | 3 | 3.13 | +0.13 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.