Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
MIN5FINAL
1SEA
MIN 65%DESERVE TO WIN35% SEA
DESERVED
MIN earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
MINSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 4.14 | 2.02 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.66 | 1.29 |
| Shot attempts | 74 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 36 | 24 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 15.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.87 | +0.65 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.80 | +0.64 |
| Blake Coleman | 16.5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.68 | +0.57 |
| Matt Boldy | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.80 | +0.65 |
| Quinn Hughes | 22.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.74 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.36 |
| Matt Kiersted | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.12 | +0.99 |
| Olli Maatta | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.14 |
| Yakov Trenin | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.63 | +0.58 |
| Nico Sturm | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.30 |
| Michael McCarron | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.52 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.67 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.29 |
| Danila Yurov | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.55 |
| Max Shabanov | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.47 |
| Bobby Brink | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.44 |
| Jonas Brodin | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| Zach Bogosian | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.86 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Montour | 23.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.26 |
| Berkly Catton | 15.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | +0.13 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.03 |
| Jordan Eberle | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | -0.02 |
| Bobby McMann | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.74 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.74 |
| Shane Wright | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.00 |
| Ryker Evans | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.43 |
| Vince Dunn | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | -0.78 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.47 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.74 |
| Adam Larsson | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.81 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.72 |
| Josh Mahura | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.30 |
| Matty Beniers | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Ryan Winterton | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Cale Fleury | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| Curtis Douglas | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 52 | 4 | 4.14 | +0.14 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 34 | 1 | 2.02 | +1.02 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.