Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
DET1FINAL
4CGY
DET 61%DESERVE TO WIN39% CGY
STOLE IT
CGY stole it — only a 39% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
DETCGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.77 | 1.46 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 38 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 25 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Copp | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.59 | +0.41 |
| J.T. Compher | 15.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Dylan Larkin | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.49 | +0.65 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | +0.26 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | +0.10 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | +0.53 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | +0.00 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.27 |
| Lucas Raymond | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.57 |
| Moritz Seider | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | +0.12 |
| Ben Chiarot | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.18 |
| William Wallinder | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.45 |
| Anton Johansson | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Justin Faulk | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.11 |
| Andreas Englund | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.30 |
| Albert Johansson | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.53 |
| Nate Danielson | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee | 18.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.10 |
| Matvei Gridin | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.29 | +0.31 |
| Matt Coronato | 16.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.24 |
| Ryan Strome | 13.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.30 |
| Adam Klapka | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.09 | -0.30 |
| Zayne Parekh | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.49 |
| Kevin Bahl | 25.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
| Morgan Frost | 12.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Ben Jones | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| Brennan Othmann | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.33 |
| Martin Pospisil | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.00 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.07 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.50 |
| Jake Middleton | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| Simon Nemec | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Aydar Suniev | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 31 | 4 | 1.46 | -2.54 |
| Devin Cooley | CGY | 40 | 1 | 2.77 | +1.77 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.