Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
TOR7FINAL
2EDM
TOR 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — TOR had a 44% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
TOREDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| TOR | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.77 | 3.33 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.32 | 1.98 |
| Shot attempts | 59 | 68 |
| Shots on goal | 32 | 32 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Nylander | 16.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.01 |
| Jack Roslovic | 15.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.84 |
| Kirill Marchenko | 15.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.12 |
| Zack MacEwen | 9.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.79 |
| Auston Matthews | 17.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | -0.44 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.70 |
| Vinni Lettieri | 10.9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | +0.35 |
| Troy Stecher | 24.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.37 |
| Jake McCabe | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | -0.20 |
| Easton Cowan | 15.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.76 |
| Darren Raddysh | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| Gavin McKenna | 11.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.23 |
| Morgan Rielly | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Teddy Blueger | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.47 |
| Colton Sissons | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.28 |
| Nick Paul | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.07 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.26 |
| Dakota Mermis | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 21.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Connor McDavid | 22.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.61 | +0.10 |
| Evan Bouchard | 26.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.85 |
| Filip Hallander | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | +0.09 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.05 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.25 |
| Zach Hyman | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.02 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.23 |
| Jake Walman | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| Ryan Shea | 25.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | +0.47 |
| Ty Emberson | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.45 |
| Connor Murphy | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | -0.68 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Alex Formenton | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Colton Dach | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
| Max Jones | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | 53 | 2 | 3.33 | +1.33 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 44 | 6 | 2.77 | -3.23 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.