ON-ICE IQ · CAR 4 @ STL 0

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27

CAR4

FINAL

0STL

CAR 60%DESERVE TO WIN40% STL

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CAR had a 60% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CARSTL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CAR	STL
Goals	4	0
xG (all)	3.78	2.34
xG (5v5)	3.30	2.02
Shot attempts	62	50
Shots on goal	39	24

CAR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Seth Jarvis	16.3	0	2	3	0.22	+0.28
Sebastian Aho	16.6	0	2	1	0.07	-0.51
Logan Stankoven	15.5	1	0	5	0.88	+0.86
Nikolaj Ehlers	15.5	1	0	2	0.39	+0.78
Sean Walker	20.8	1	0	3	0.38	+0.85
Jackson Blake	17.2	0	1	1	0.31	+1.07
Jordan Martinook	17.5	0	1	2	0.21	+0.34
Andrei Svechnikov	14.8	0	1	1	0.20	-0.48
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	16.4	1	0	2	0.14	+0.38
Skyler Brind'Amour	11.6	0	0	5	0.46	+0.55
William Carrier	13.3	0	0	2	0.20	-0.29
Nicolas Deslauriers	11.8	0	0	2	0.13	+0.53
Eric Robinson	12.7	0	0	1	0.05	+0.33
Shayne Gostisbehere	17.7	0	0	2	0.04	+0.36
Juuso Välimäki	16.2	0	0	2	0.04	+0.41
Jaccob Slavin	20.4	0	0	3	0.03	+0.29
K'Andre Miller	23.2	0	0	1	0.03	+0.58
Jalen Chatfield	20.6	0	0	1	0.01	+0.08

STL skaters

Player	TOI	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jake Neighbours	14.2	3	0.41	-0.91
Connor McMichael	15.3	3	0.37	-0.25
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki	13.4	2	0.34	+0.32
Dylan Holloway	17.1	4	0.32	-0.34
Robert Thomas	18.2	2	0.16	+0.31
Mason McTavish	17.1	0	0.15	-0.62
Jimmy Snuggerud	16.8	1	0.13	-0.02
Jonatan Berggren	17.3	2	0.13	-0.05
Colton Parayko	20.2	1	0.09	+0.12
Otto Stenberg	10.8	1	0.06	-0.14
Dalibor Dvorsky	12.1	2	0.06	-0.80
Pavel Buchnevich	15.4	0	0.04	-1.18
Philip Broberg	24.6	1	0.03	-0.75
Cam Fowler	19.1	1	0.02	-0.49
Pius Suter	12.7	0	0.02	-0.17
Brandon Carlo	18.1	1	0.01	-0.29
Justin Barron	19.7	0	0.00	-0.80
Adam Jiricek	16.6	0	0.00	-0.35

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Joel Hofer	STL	53	4	3.78	-0.22
Pyotr Kochetkov	CAR	35	0	2.34	+2.34

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.