ON-ICE IQ · VGK 1 @ CBJ 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27

VGK1

FINAL OT

2CBJ

VGK 51%DESERVE TO WIN49% CBJ

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CBJ had a 49% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

VGKCBJ cumulative xG · dots = goals

	VGK	CBJ
Goals	1	2
xG (all)	2.49	2.20
xG (5v5)	2.23	1.45
Shot attempts	51	55
Shots on goal	27	20

VGK skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Tomas Hertl	12.9	1	0	1	0.30	+0.53
Trevor Connelly	16.5	0	1	1	0.24	+0.98
Braeden Bowman	16.6	0	1	1	0.22	+0.43
Jack Eichel	21.7	0	0	6	0.52	+0.56
Noah Hanifin	19.0	0	0	1	0.20	+0.81
Shea Theodore	24.6	0	0	4	0.17	+0.38
Alexander Holtz	9.5	0	0	1	0.15	-0.20
Brayden McNabb	23.4	0	0	2	0.15	+0.44
Rasmus Andersson	19.6	0	0	2	0.14	-0.41
Nic Dowd	10.8	0	0	1	0.11	+0.17
Dylan Coghlan	15.8	0	0	2	0.08	+0.75
William Karlsson	16.8	0	0	1	0.08	-0.48
Raphael Lavoie	10.3	0	0	1	0.04	+0.17
Jeremy Lauzon	18.4	0	0	1	0.03	-0.39
Marc Gatcomb	12.0	0	0	1	0.03	+0.14
Mark Stone	20.4	0	0	1	0.02	+0.41
Brett Howden	15.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.28
Ivan Barbashev	15.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.09

CBJ skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kent Johnson	17.8	0	2	0	0.03	-0.29
Denton Mateychuk	21.6	1	0	2	0.30	-0.02
Charlie Coyle	19.4	0	1	2	0.28	-0.10
Adam Fantilli	19.2	1	0	2	0.27	-0.47
Valeri Nichushkin	17.2	0	1	2	0.04	-0.23
Matthew Knies	19.1	0	0	2	0.34	-0.41
Sean Monahan	18.3	0	0	1	0.26	-0.09
Conor Garland	17.1	0	0	2	0.23	-0.11
Mathieu Olivier	16.6	0	0	1	0.18	-0.16
Zach Werenski	28.2	0	0	3	0.11	-0.25
Carson Soucy	12.4	0	0	1	0.06	-0.61
Luca Del Bel Belluz	7.5	0	0	1	0.04	-0.13
Jake Christiansen	18.4	0	0	0	0.02	-0.15
Ryan Lomberg	7.8	0	0	1	0.02	-0.11
Damon Severson	25.8	0	0	0	0.00	+0.13
Cole Sillinger	16.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.13
Erik Gudbranson	12.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.67
Dmitri Voronkov	6.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.13

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	CBJ	37	1	2.49	+1.49
Carter Hart	VGK	34	2	2.20	+0.20

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.