ON-ICE IQ · NSH 2 @ PIT 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27

NSH2

FINAL OT

3PIT

NSH 29%DESERVE TO WIN71% PIT

DESERVED PIT earned it — a 71% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

NSHPIT cumulative xG · dots = goals

	NSH	PIT
Goals	2	3
xG (all)	2.10	4.53
xG (5v5)	2.03	3.53
Shot attempts	45	73
Shots on goal	26	37

NSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Steven Stamkos	19.0	1	0	3	0.42	-0.88
Matthew Wood	14.3	0	1	3	0.39	-0.56
Jayden Struble	16.1	1	0	2	0.12	-0.31
Ryan O'Reilly	19.7	0	1	2	0.08	-0.21
Nils Hoglander	9.5	0	1	0	0.00	-0.62
Adam Edstrom	14.4	0	0	2	0.33	+0.34
Mavrik Bourque	18.1	0	0	2	0.29	-1.33
Filip Forsberg	19.5	0	0	1	0.29	-0.80
Jonathan Marchessault	15.9	0	0	0	0.17	-0.78
Ross Colton	16.4	0	0	2	0.16	+0.71
Jack Drury	17.4	0	0	1	0.15	+0.11
Adam Wilsby	23.2	0	0	3	0.14	-0.73
Roman Josi	28.6	0	0	2	0.07	-0.64
Nick Perbix	17.3	0	0	2	0.03	-0.23
Brady Skjei	20.7	0	0	1	0.01	-0.62
Alexander Kerfoot	17.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.04
Nicolas Hague	16.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.45
Vitali Pinchuk	5.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.41

PIT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Rickard Rakell	19.8	1	0	4	0.78	-0.49
Elmer Soderblom	13.9	0	1	3	0.73	+1.37
Connor Dewar	13.4	1	0	4	0.46	+1.14
Ville Koivunen	16.5	1	0	3	0.35	+0.90
Hendrix Lapierre	16.4	0	1	4	0.29	+1.09
Erik Karlsson	26.2	0	1	2	0.22	-0.38
Sidney Crosby	19.6	0	1	0	0.12	-0.63
Kris Letang	22.6	0	1	1	0.06	+0.11
Tommy Novak	19.5	0	0	2	0.34	-0.48
Avery Hayes	12.7	0	0	5	0.31	+0.74
Kaedan Korczak	18.1	0	0	2	0.23	+1.61
Rutger McGroarty	12.2	0	0	1	0.19	+0.11
Declan Carlile	20.6	0	0	1	0.17	+1.43
Nick Robertson	17.6	0	0	2	0.15	+1.14
Ilya Solovyov	16.2	0	0	1	0.09	+0.65
Spencer Stastney	18.2	0	0	2	0.04	-0.42
Andrei Kuzmenko	13.1	0	0	0	0.01	-0.06
Blake Lizotte	14.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.33

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Juuse Saros	NSH	53	3	4.53	+1.53
Arturs Silovs	PIT	34	2	2.10	+0.10

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.