Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
NYR4FINAL
7OTT
NYR 58%DESERVE TO WIN42% OTT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — OTT had a 42% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYROTT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 3.76 | 2.52 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.53 | 1.93 |
| Shot attempts | 67 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 24 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cuylle | 19.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | -0.48 |
| J.T. Miller | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.55 |
| Noah Laba | 16.9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.61 |
| Adam Fox | 24.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +1.04 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 19.6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.97 | +0.69 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 19.1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.69 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 10.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | +0.08 |
| Gabe Perreault | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.81 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | +0.33 |
| Tye Kartye | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | +0.55 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.81 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.07 |
| Luke Glendening | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.06 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.53 |
| Sean Durzi | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.12 |
| Braden Schneider | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.70 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Alberts Smits | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 14.9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | +0.06 |
| Jake Sanderson | 23.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.78 | -0.04 |
| Michael Amadio | 17.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.45 | -0.79 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.01 |
| Tim Stützle | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | +0.24 |
| Ridly Greig | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.91 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.38 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.12 |
| Jordan Spence | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.28 |
| Artem Zub | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Claude Giroux | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Tyler Kleven | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | -0.12 |
| Shane Pinto | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.22 |
| Nick Cousins | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.21 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.25 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Warren Foegele | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Stephen Halliday | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | OTT | 46 | 4 | 3.76 | -0.24 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 31 | 5 | 2.52 | -2.48 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.