Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
SJS4FINAL
6BOS
SJS 31%DESERVE TO WIN69% BOS
DESERVED
BOS earned it — a 69% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SJSBOS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SJS | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.47 | 4.86 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.04 | 3.20 |
| Shot attempts | 43 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 35 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Trouba | 23.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.66 | -0.24 |
| Will Smith | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.56 | -1.06 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | -1.30 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.39 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.37 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 19.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.61 |
| Mason Marchment | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Michael Misa | 14.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.28 |
| Sam Dickinson | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.19 |
| Adam Gaudette | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.43 |
| Michael Kesselring | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -1.28 |
| Darnell Nurse | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -1.38 |
| Collin Graf | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -1.11 |
| Nolan Allan | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.53 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.38 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mittelstadt | 15.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.14 | +1.18 |
| Fraser Minten | 18.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.61 | +0.25 |
| JJ Peterka | 17.8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.56 |
| James Hagens | 12.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.30 | +1.13 |
| Elias Lindholm | 17.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | +1.10 |
| David Pastrnak | 20.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.34 | +0.63 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 16.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.11 |
| Will Borgen | 17.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +1.42 |
| Morgan Geekie | 15.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | +0.17 |
| Pavel Zacha | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.69 |
| Mark Kastelic | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.23 |
| Mason Lohrei | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.13 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | +0.62 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.31 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.60 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +1.39 |
| Matthew Poitras | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.12 |
| Frederic Brunet | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.17 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJS | 55 | 5 | 4.86 | -0.14 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 33 | 4 | 2.47 | -1.53 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.