Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
LAK1FINAL
3NJD
LAK 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% NJD
DESERVED
NJD earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
LAKNJD
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| LAK | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 1.36 | 2.93 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.13 | 2.31 |
| Shot attempts | 37 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 13 | 26 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton | 14.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.55 |
| Adrian Kempe | 20.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Andre Lee | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Joel Armia | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | +0.40 |
| Drew Doughty | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | -0.39 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.59 |
| Artemi Panarin | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | -0.83 |
| Trevor Moore | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.07 |
| Brandt Clarke | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.14 |
| Erik Haula | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.37 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.71 |
| Jared Wright | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.16 |
| Alex Laferriere | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.76 |
| Joel Edmundson | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Mikey Anderson | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Corey Perry | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Samuel Helenius | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 15.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.48 | +0.70 |
| Luke Evangelista | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.87 |
| Jack Hughes | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.41 | +0.64 |
| Jesper Bratt | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.55 |
| Brett Pesce | 21.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.56 |
| Anthony Mantha | 12.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.03 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.02 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 10.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| Nico Hischier | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.56 | +0.81 |
| Timo Meier | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | +0.55 |
| Luke Hughes | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.53 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | +0.79 |
| Connor Brown | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.05 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.23 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.18 |
| Cody Glass | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.26 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Brenden Dillon | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.85 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | NJD | 22 | 1 | 1.36 | +0.36 |
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | 44 | 2 | 2.93 | +0.93 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.