Sat Oct 24 · 2026-27
ANA5FINAL
4PHI
ANA 62%DESERVE TO WIN38% PHI
DESERVED
ANA earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
ANAPHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 4.54 | 2.73 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.21 | 1.89 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 54 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 32 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Luneau | 17.8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.03 | +1.14 |
| Leo Carlsson | 20.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.57 | +0.07 |
| Judd Caulfield | 12.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.17 | +0.40 |
| Alex Killorn | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.61 | +0.20 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 18.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.53 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.34 | +0.11 |
| A.J. Greer | 11.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.30 |
| Tim Washe | 14.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.08 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 25.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.59 |
| Travis Mitchell | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Mikael Granlund | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.35 | -0.14 |
| Sam Colangelo | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | -0.07 |
| Jeff Malott | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.03 |
| Drew Helleson | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.24 |
| Roger McQueen | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Noah Warren | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.07 |
| Tyson Hinds | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 18.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | -0.71 |
| Trevor Zegras | 21.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.42 |
| Porter Martone | 18.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.01 |
| Travis Sanheim | 27.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.55 | -0.78 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 24.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.47 |
| Tyson Foerster | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | +0.61 |
| Noah Cates | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| Nick Seeler | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Jacob Gaucher | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.18 |
| Sean Couturier | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -1.37 |
| Noel Acciari | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.15 |
| Cole Knuble | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | -0.18 |
| Alex Bump | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.22 |
| Christian Dvorak | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.17 |
| Denver Barkey | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.54 |
| Oliver Bonk | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.29 |
| Hunter McDonald | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.26 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.81 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | PHI | 41 | 5 | 4.54 | -0.46 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 39 | 4 | 2.73 | -1.27 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.