Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
DET5FINAL
2VAN
DET 66%DESERVE TO WIN34% VAN
DESERVED
DET earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
DETVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.86 | 1.83 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.47 | 1.21 |
| Shot attempts | 63 | 38 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 13 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 17.7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1.11 | +0.44 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 14.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.26 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 16.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.51 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.48 | +0.50 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.14 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.18 |
| William Wallinder | 13.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.38 |
| Anton Johansson | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.43 |
| Albert Johansson | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.37 |
| J.T. Compher | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.44 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.11 |
| Carter Mazur | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.11 |
| Andrew Copp | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.52 |
| Dylan Larkin | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.51 |
| Nate Danielson | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.05 |
| Ben Chiarot | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.51 |
| Justin Faulk | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.53 |
| Moritz Seider | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 17.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.47 | -0.36 |
| Elias Pettersson | 20.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.66 |
| Zeev Buium | 20.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.17 |
| Filip Hronek | 24.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.74 |
| Marco Rossi | 9.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.44 |
| Drew O'Connor | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.56 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.12 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| Linus Karlsson | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.57 |
| Brock Boeser | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Elias Pettersson | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.73 |
| Max Sasson | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.02 |
| Tom Willander | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.18 |
| Filip Chytil | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.20 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.55 |
| Victor Mancini | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Paul Cotter | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 13 | 1 | 0.85 | -0.15 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 46 | 5 | 3.86 | -1.14 |
| Michal Postava | DET | 13 | 1 | 0.98 | -0.02 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.