Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
UTA3FINAL
5SEA
UTA 56%DESERVE TO WIN44% SEA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 44% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
UTASEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| UTA | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.07 | 2.20 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.08 | 0.94 |
| Shot attempts | 71 | 51 |
| Shots on goal | 36 | 23 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 17.4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.22 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 27.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.36 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.48 | +0.71 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.24 | +0.25 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 22.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.20 | +0.09 |
| Clayton Keller | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.70 |
| Dylan Guenther | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.49 |
| Lawson Crouse | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.26 |
| Anders Lee | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.38 |
| Barrett Hayton | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.42 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.04 |
| Jack McBain | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.04 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.33 |
| Daniil But | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.04 |
| Nick DeSimone | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.63 |
| Andrew Peeke | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.52 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| Nate Schmidt | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.39 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle | 18.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.42 | -0.43 |
| Brandon Montour | 27.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.23 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.55 | -0.39 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 12.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.30 |
| Matty Beniers | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Vince Dunn | 25.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.92 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| Bobby McMann | 17.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Berkly Catton | 14.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.04 |
| Ryker Evans | 22.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| Jared McCann | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.51 | -0.16 |
| Shane Wright | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.07 |
| Ryan Winterton | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.28 |
| Josh Mahura | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| Adam Larsson | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.92 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | +0.01 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 52 | 3 | 3.07 | +0.07 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 36 | 4 | 2.20 | -1.80 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.