Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
CAR5FINAL SO
6EDM
CAR 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 51% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
CAREDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CAR | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.10 | 1.39 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 21 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | 22.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.63 | -0.13 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 15.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.59 |
| Jordan Martinook | 15.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.54 |
| Logan Stankoven | 18.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | +0.10 |
| Jackson Blake | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | +0.46 |
| Seth Jarvis | 15.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.58 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.16 |
| Juuso Välimäki | 14.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.87 |
| William Carrier | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Sean Walker | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.38 | +0.56 |
| K'Andre Miller | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.42 |
| Skyler Brind'Amour | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.17 |
| Eric Robinson | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.22 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.17 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.50 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.35 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 25.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.52 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.57 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 24.4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0.56 | -0.01 |
| Connor McDavid | 25.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.15 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 21.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.69 | -0.04 |
| Evan Bouchard | 30.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.34 |
| Jake Walman | 15.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.16 |
| Zach Hyman | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.02 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.12 |
| Owen Michaels | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.57 |
| Ryan Shea | 28.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.26 |
| Alex Formenton | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.41 |
| Trent Frederic | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.28 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.73 |
| Colton Dach | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| Connor Murphy | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Isaac Howard | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Ty Emberson | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Levi | EDM | 42 | 5 | 3.15 | -1.85 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | 39 | 5 | 3.10 | -1.90 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.