Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
MIN1FINAL
2CGY
MIN 61%DESERVE TO WIN39% CGY
STOLE IT
CGY stole it — only a 39% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
MINCGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.48 | 1.96 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| Shot attempts | 69 | 38 |
| Shots on goal | 37 | 22 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Brodin | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.19 |
| Michael McCarron | 11.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.18 |
| Nico Sturm | 9.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.34 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | +0.21 |
| Matt Boldy | 25.1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.67 | +0.23 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | +0.26 |
| Blake Coleman | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.09 |
| Danila Yurov | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.06 |
| Bobby Brink | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.09 |
| Yakov Trenin | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.07 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | +0.22 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.18 |
| Quinn Hughes | 31.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | +0.05 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.11 |
| Daemon Hunt | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.17 |
| Zach Bogosian | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Olli Maatta | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
| Rieger Lorenz | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.54 | +0.08 |
| Joel Farabee | 18.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.30 |
| Aydar Suniev | 11.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.15 |
| Matt Coronato | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | -0.24 |
| Adam Klapka | 11.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.26 |
| Ryan Strome | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | +0.02 |
| Simon Nemec | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.08 |
| Zayne Parekh | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.02 |
| Matvei Gridin | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.02 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.07 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.33 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.08 |
| Jake Middleton | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.30 |
| Kevin Bahl | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Martin Pospisil | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Brennan Othmann | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Ben Jones | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | CGY | 55 | 1 | 3.48 | +2.48 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 28 | 2 | 1.96 | -0.04 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.