ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES
Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
WPG2
FINAL OT
3DAL
WPG 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% DAL
DESERVED DAL earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

WPGDAL cumulative xG · dots = goals
WPGDAL
Goals23
xG (all)2.694.39
xG (5v5)1.172.54
Shot attempts4160
Shots on goal1938

WPG skaters

PlayerTOIGASOGixG5v5 xG±
Gabriel Vilardi 19.710 20.57 -0.29
Kyle Connor 23.010 30.54 -0.55
Dylan Samberg 22.301 10.15 +0.21
Neal Pionk 29.701 20.09 -0.62
Alex Iafallo 12.701 00.00 +0.07
Mark Scheifele 23.700 20.39 -0.50
Brayden Yager 14.600 10.25 -0.81
Cole Perfetti 19.000 20.24 -0.32
Mario Ferraro 19.400 10.17 -0.54
Viggo Björck 12.700 20.14 -0.14
Haydn Fleury 14.200 00.05 -0.92
Nino Niederreiter 9.900 00.04 +0.19
Brad Lambert 7.200 10.03 +0.16
Dylan DeMelo 22.700 10.02 -0.67
Isak Rosen 15.300 10.01 -0.71
Adam Lowry 16.600 00.00 -0.89
Morgan Barron 14.400 00.00 -0.33
Tyrel Bauer 9.000 00.00 -0.21

DAL skaters

PlayerTOIGASOGixG5v5 xG±
Roope Hintz 15.320 50.81 +0.43
Wyatt Johnston 19.911 40.54 +0.72
Jason Robertson 21.702 40.53 +0.63
Mikko Rantanen 20.102 10.39 +0.74
Miro Heiskanen 29.301 50.20 +1.21
Tyler Seguin 15.200 30.53 +0.43
Justin Hryckowian 17.400 20.24 +0.55
Arttu Hyry 16.200 00.23 +0.27
Jamie Benn 13.400 30.20 +0.56
Sam Steel 16.100 20.20 -0.26
Thomas Harley 28.400 20.18 +0.44
Radek Faksa 7.400 10.12 +0.02
Joel Kiviranta 10.000 20.08 +0.05
Tyler Myers 15.700 10.05 +0.66
Lian Bichsel 17.800 10.05 +0.10
Nils Lundkvist 16.800 10.03 +0.27
Kyle Capobianco 12.400 10.01 +0.04
Colin Blackwell 9.400 00.00 -0.02

Goalies

GoalieTeamUnbl. shotsGAxGAGSAx
Stuart SkinnerWPG513 4.39+1.39
Jake OettingerDAL272 2.69+0.69
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.