Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
VGK2FINAL
6STL
VGK 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% STL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — STL had a 51% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
VGKSTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VGK | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.95 | 2.83 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.79 | 2.30 |
| Shot attempts | 63 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 31 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Holtz | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.63 | +0.61 |
| Brett Howden | 15.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.78 |
| Jack Eichel | 16.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | +0.48 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | +0.45 |
| Brayden McNabb | 22.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.55 |
| Noah Hanifin | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Mark Stone | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.30 |
| Tomas Hertl | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.39 |
| Shea Theodore | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | +0.70 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.24 |
| Nic Dowd | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.38 |
| Braeden Bowman | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.07 |
| Trevor Connelly | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.34 |
| Raphael Lavoie | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.50 |
| William Karlsson | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.62 |
| Dylan Coghlan | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.05 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Barron | 20.4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.30 | +0.21 |
| Dylan Holloway | 18.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.40 | -0.21 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 17.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 17.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | -0.06 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.35 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.26 | +0.28 |
| Connor McMichael | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.35 |
| Mason McTavish | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.00 |
| Adam Jiricek | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.09 |
| Jake Neighbours | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| Otto Stenberg | 11.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.22 |
| Robert Thomas | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| Philip Broberg | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.28 |
| Colton Parayko | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.48 |
| Pius Suter | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.21 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| Cam Fowler | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.13 |
| Brandon Carlo | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.89 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | VGK | 39 | 6 | 2.83 | -3.17 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | 48 | 2 | 2.95 | +0.95 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.