Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
FLA0FINAL
4PIT
FLA 51%DESERVE TO WIN49% PIT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — PIT had a 49% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
FLAPIT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| FLA | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.45 | 2.16 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.49 | 1.89 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 43 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 21 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.68 | +0.14 |
| Sam Bennett | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | +0.13 |
| Anton Lundell | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.38 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.13 |
| Lars Eller | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | +0.12 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.13 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.03 |
| Bokondji Imama | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.41 |
| Seth Jones | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.07 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.05 |
| Gustav Forsling | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.01 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.10 |
| Uvis Balinskis | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.52 |
| Cole Schwindt | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.30 |
| Niko Mikkola | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Cole Reinhardt | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Robertson | 14.1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | -0.06 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 10.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.24 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 12.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.47 |
| Connor Dewar | 16.7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.10 | -0.04 |
| Blake Lizotte | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.19 |
| Kris Letang | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.37 |
| Spencer Stastney | 18.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Ville Koivunen | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Rickard Rakell | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | -0.24 |
| Erik Karlsson | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | -0.26 |
| Declan Carlile | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.08 |
| Elmer Soderblom | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.08 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.19 |
| Rutger McGroarty | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.30 |
| Sidney Crosby | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| Ilya Solovyov | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.46 |
| Tommy Novak | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.29 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 38 | 0 | 2.45 | +2.45 |
| Cooper Black | FLA | 30 | 3 | 2.16 | -0.84 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.