ON-ICE IQ · ANA 1 @ NJD 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27

ANA1

FINAL

4NJD

ANA 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% NJD

DESERVED NJD earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

ANANJD cumulative xG · dots = goals

	ANA	NJD
Goals	1	4
xG (all)	1.51	2.92
xG (5v5)	1.48	2.15
Shot attempts	50	56
Shots on goal	17	29

ANA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Tim Washe	14.1	1	0	1	0.15	+0.18
Sam Colangelo	12.0	0	1	2	0.11	+0.22
Jackson LaCombe	27.9	0	1	0	0.00	-0.55
Beckett Sennecke	20.2	0	0	1	0.29	+0.10
Cutter Gauthier	19.0	0	0	2	0.22	-0.57
Tyson Hinds	22.2	0	0	3	0.18	+0.14
Nikita Nesterenko	12.5	0	0	1	0.12	-0.15
Mikael Granlund	20.1	0	0	1	0.11	-0.35
Drew Helleson	16.2	0	0	3	0.10	-0.33
Roger McQueen	12.2	0	0	0	0.07	-0.07
Leo Carlsson	19.2	0	0	1	0.05	-0.37
Tristan Luneau	21.2	0	0	0	0.04	-0.07
Alex Killorn	15.4	0	0	1	0.02	-0.74
Nick Jensen	13.0	0	0	0	0.01	-0.40
A.J. Greer	13.3	0	0	0	0.01	+0.31
Frank Vatrano	11.9	0	0	1	0.01	-0.35
Noah Warren	16.1	0	0	0	0.01	-0.14
Nikita Klepov	11.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.24

NJD skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jack Hughes	18.8	1	1	2	0.50	+0.33
Jesper Bratt	15.5	0	2	2	0.38	+0.08
Nico Hischier	16.5	1	0	2	0.81	+0.47
Arseny Gritsyuk	15.7	1	0	4	0.48	+0.13
Luke Evangelista	17.3	0	1	2	0.27	+0.26
Anthony Mantha	11.6	1	0	1	0.21	+0.26
Brett Pesce	21.5	0	1	2	0.02	+0.11
Timo Meier	16.7	0	0	5	0.24	+0.23
Evan Rodrigues	12.9	0	0	1	0.10	+0.13
Dawson Mercer	13.9	0	0	1	0.10	+0.37
Cody Glass	13.8	0	0	1	0.09	-0.26
Dougie Hamilton	21.1	0	0	0	0.09	-0.00
Luke Hughes	24.3	0	0	2	0.06	-0.00
Connor Brown	13.0	0	0	1	0.05	+0.01
Jesper Boqvist	13.7	0	0	1	0.05	+0.01
Jonas Siegenthaler	21.2	0	0	1	0.01	+0.00
Johnathan Kovacevic	15.7	0	0	1	0.01	+0.72
Declan Chisholm	14.8	0	0	0	0.00	+0.54

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Ville Husso	ANA	39	3	2.92	-0.08
Nico Daws	NJD	33	1	1.51	+0.51

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.