Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
SJS6FINAL
2OTT
SJS 28%DESERVE TO WIN72% OTT
STOLE IT
SJS stole it — only a 28% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SJSOTT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SJS | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.43 | 5.36 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.01 | 3.94 |
| Shot attempts | 55 | 92 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 43 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Graf | 19.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | -0.37 |
| Jacob Trouba | 23.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.39 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 18.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.07 | -0.27 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 11.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.55 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.43 |
| Nolan Allan | 16.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | -0.41 |
| Michael Misa | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.44 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 11.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.84 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.83 |
| Sam Dickinson | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.75 |
| Darnell Nurse | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.95 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| Will Smith | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.17 |
| Igor Chernyshov | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.11 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.75 |
| Mason Marchment | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.79 |
| Michael Kesselring | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.94 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabian Zetterlund | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1.27 | +1.78 |
| Jordan Spence | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | +2.13 |
| Drake Batherson | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.26 |
| Tim Stützle | 22.9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | +1.09 |
| Warren Foegele | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.07 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.62 | -0.01 |
| Ridly Greig | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | +0.14 |
| Claude Giroux | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +1.58 |
| Stephen Halliday | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | +0.32 |
| Michael Amadio | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.19 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.22 |
| Shane Pinto | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | -0.17 |
| Hayden Hodgson | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.04 |
| Jake Sanderson | 26.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.18 |
| Tyler Kleven | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +1.61 |
| Artem Zub | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
| Nick Cousins | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.67 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | 42 | 4 | 2.43 | -1.57 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 70 | 2 | 5.36 | +3.36 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.