Thu Oct 22 · 2026-27
NSH0FINAL
6BOS
NSH 40%DESERVE TO WIN60% BOS
DESERVED
BOS earned it — a 60% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NSHBOS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NSH | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 3.39 | 4.52 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.66 | 4.17 |
| Shot attempts | 61 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 31 |
NSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Hoglander | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | -0.02 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | -0.58 |
| Matthew Wood | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.41 | +0.14 |
| Mavrik Bourque | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.18 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | -0.09 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.41 |
| Ross Colton | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.05 |
| Jack Drury | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.63 |
| Steven Stamkos | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.03 |
| Brady Skjei | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.28 |
| Adam Edstrom | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -1.26 |
| Roman Josi | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.34 |
| Reid Schaefer | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.30 |
| Jayden Struble | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -1.64 |
| Adam Wilsby | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.63 |
| Nicolas Hague | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -1.75 |
| Filip Forsberg | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.96 |
| Ilya Lyubushkin | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 16.6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.29 | +1.65 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 19.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.11 | +1.96 |
| Pavel Zacha | 16.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.29 | +1.65 |
| JJ Peterka | 17.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.52 | +1.12 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.39 | +0.56 |
| Matthew Poitras | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.80 |
| Elias Lindholm | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.59 |
| Mark Kastelic | 14.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | +0.28 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.32 |
| Frederic Brunet | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Fraser Minten | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.12 |
| James Hagens | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | -0.30 |
| Morgan Geekie | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.12 |
| Mason Lohrei | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.43 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.10 |
| Will Borgen | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.24 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.50 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | BOS | 47 | 0 | 3.39 | +3.39 |
| Justus Annunen | NSH | 46 | 6 | 4.52 | -1.48 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.