Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
CAR6FINAL
3VAN
CAR 71%DESERVE TO WIN29% VAN
DESERVED
CAR earned it — a 71% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CARVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CAR | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 4.52 | 1.66 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.78 | 1.31 |
| Shot attempts | 78 | 38 |
| Shots on goal | 44 | 17 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Stankoven | 18.9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0.88 | +0.88 |
| Jackson Blake | 20.5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.68 | +1.08 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 17.2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.42 | +0.99 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 10.7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.23 |
| Juuso Välimäki | 11.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.24 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.05 |
| K'Andre Miller | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.52 |
| Bradly Nadeau | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.41 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.59 | +0.43 |
| Sebastian Aho | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.53 | +0.54 |
| William Carrier | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.40 | +0.94 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | +0.70 |
| Felix Unger Sörum | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| Sean Walker | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.57 |
| Eric Robinson | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.28 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.20 |
| Jordan Martinook | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.71 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 13.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.57 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| Linus Karlsson | 11.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.72 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 9.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.20 |
| Max Sasson | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.20 |
| Elias Pettersson | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.31 |
| Brock Boeser | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| Zeev Buium | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.20 |
| Drew O'Connor | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.17 |
| Filip Chytil | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -1.21 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.55 |
| Tom Willander | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.36 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
| Filip Hronek | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.94 |
| Luke Schenn | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Paul Cotter | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.91 |
| Liam Ohgren | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | 28 | 3 | 1.66 | -1.34 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 62 | 5 | 4.52 | -0.48 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.