Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
DET3FINAL SO
4SEA
DET 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% SEA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DETSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.65 | 2.71 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.63 | 1.82 |
| Shot attempts | 74 | 54 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 27 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 24.1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.61 | +0.37 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 23.8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.50 | +0.12 |
| Dylan Larkin | 23.0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0.31 | +0.30 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.29 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 23.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| Anton Johansson | 12.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.17 |
| Carter Mazur | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.41 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.50 |
| Sheldon Dries | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.11 |
| Albert Johansson | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.25 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.48 |
| Moritz Seider | 28.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.62 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.21 |
| Ben Chiarot | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.44 |
| Justin Faulk | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Andrew Copp | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| Andreas Englund | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.17 |
| Ryker Evans | 22.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.38 |
| Berkly Catton | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.11 |
| Brandon Montour | 30.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | +0.51 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| Jordan Eberle | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.60 | +0.33 |
| Matty Beniers | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.37 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.42 |
| Jared McCann | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.46 |
| Bobby McMann | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.00 |
| Vince Dunn | 26.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.09 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | -0.25 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.08 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.43 |
| Adam Larsson | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| Shane Wright | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Ryan Winterton | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Josh Mahura | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 53 | 3 | 2.65 | -0.35 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 37 | 3 | 2.71 | -0.29 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.