Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
MIN3FINAL OT
4EDM
MIN 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
MINEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 4.49 | 4.22 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.61 | 2.52 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 32 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | 22.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.79 | +1.90 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 21.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.44 | +2.14 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 22.8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1.76 | +1.78 |
| Quinn Hughes | 31.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | +2.40 |
| Ryan Hartman | 12.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
| Jonas Brodin | 28.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | +1.76 |
| Bobby Brink | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.02 |
| Michael McCarron | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | -0.40 |
| Blake Coleman | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -0.00 |
| Matt Kiersted | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | +0.14 |
| David Spacek | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.24 |
| Nico Sturm | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Zach Bogosian | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -1.29 |
| Max Shabanov | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Daemon Hunt | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.13 |
| Danila Yurov | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Yakov Trenin | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.63 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 25.5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.50 | -1.19 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 24.1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.74 | -0.91 |
| Evan Bouchard | 28.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.52 | -1.10 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 12.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.12 |
| Alex Formenton | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.14 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.20 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.11 |
| Zach Hyman | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | -0.49 |
| Colton Dach | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | -0.59 |
| Isaac Howard | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.44 | +0.38 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.60 |
| Jake Walman | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Ryan Shea | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.46 |
| Trent Frederic | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.38 |
| Ty Emberson | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| Connor Murphy | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Filip Hallander | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.47 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Levi | EDM | 45 | 3 | 4.49 | +1.49 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 47 | 4 | 4.22 | +0.22 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.