Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
BOS2FINAL OT
3DAL
BOS 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% DAL
DESERVED
DAL earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
BOSDAL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.35 | 4.13 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.72 | 2.37 |
| Shot attempts | 43 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 25 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Hagens | 13.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.04 |
| Matthew Poitras | 9.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.18 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 9.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.08 |
| Frederic Brunet | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.29 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| Pavel Zacha | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.61 | -0.25 |
| Morgan Geekie | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.47 | -0.36 |
| Fraser Minten | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.19 |
| JJ Peterka | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.03 |
| Elias Lindholm | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | -0.03 |
| Mark Kastelic | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.24 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 27.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| David Pastrnak | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Will Borgen | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Mason Lohrei | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 22.2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1.29 | +0.75 |
| Jason Robertson | 23.5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.44 |
| Thomas Harley | 27.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.44 | -0.05 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 30.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.58 |
| Roope Hintz | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.99 | +0.72 |
| Radek Faksa | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.60 |
| Arttu Hyry | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| Colin Blackwell | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.49 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | +0.45 |
| Tyler Seguin | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.41 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.65 |
| Lian Bichsel | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.03 |
| Tyler Myers | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| Kyle Capobianco | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.45 |
| Sam Steel | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Jamie Benn | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 29 | 2 | 2.35 | +0.35 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 42 | 3 | 4.13 | +1.13 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.